The following shows why until further notice add 4 points in Obama's favor for any Rasmussen state poll or just ignore it.
The chances that this was random error is ZERO. Best case scenario, his poll methodology favors Republicans systematically. Let's just stop at that.
2008 General election: Final Rasmussen versus final results in 2012 swing states
(results in terms of Obama +, Romney -)
state Rasmussen result difference
Col +4 +8.5 -4
Ohio tie +4.6 -4.6
Mich +10 +16.4 -6.4
Iowa +8 +9.5 -1.5
NH +7 +9.6 -2.6
Fla -1 +2.8 -3.8
Wis +7 +13.9 -6.9
Penn +6 +10.3 -4.3
Nev +4 +12.5 -8.5
Va +4 +6.3 -2.3
NC -1 +0.3 -1.3
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-4.2 bias against Obama
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