Rand poll - which is a new way to poll that doesn't have the bad response rate problem of traditional polls
a few days ago Obama was up 2
they were tied after the DNC convention
Romney was up 1 after the RNC convention
Abc Washington post tracking poll which currently has Romney winning 50-47, the most important question is: Regardless of who you're voting for best guess who do you think will win:
note: this is much closer than it used to be, but a sign that Obama is in good shape to win.
Here's a study on how this "best guess" is more predictive than the traditional horse race.