Friday, January 26, 2018

No need to pay for “elite” QB to get to Super Bowl

As of today, many NFL franchises are deciding whether to re-sign their QB and/or whether they want  to pursue another potential franchise QB.  It’s tsken as a given that it’s desirable to do whatever it takes to get a Brady, Rodgers, Brees, Big Ben, etc. But the facts show that it’s not necessary and maybe shouldn’t be a priority.

Let’s tske a look at the last 20 Super Bowls and see what percentage began that successful year/ playoffs with a top guy:

2018. Foles N Brady Y
2017  Ryan Y. Brady Y
2016  Manning N. Newton Y
(Peyton Manning played horrible the second half of year - was benched and injured)
2015.   Wilson N. Brady Y
(Wilson still on rookie deal as 3rd round pick)
2014.   Wilson N.  P Manning Y
2013 Flacco N  Kapernick N
(Check press clippings when Flacco said he was elite)
2012 E Manning Y Brady Y
(Manning is barely a top guy - close call)
2011. Rodgers Y. Big Ben Y
2010. P Manning Y Brees Y
2009 Warner N Big Ben Y
(Warner older and play was surprise)
2008. E Manning N Brady Y
(Manning is close call - but generally not respected)
2007. P Manning Y Grossman N
2006. Big Ben N Hasselback N
(Ben -Rookie contract - not expected to be top guy)
2005.  Brady y. McNabb Y
2004. Brady Y Delhomme N
2003 B Johnson N R Gannon N
2002 Brady N Warner Y
(Brady 6rh round backup)
2001  Dilfer N Collins N
2000. Warner N McNair N
(Warner was in Arena league and out of football)
1999. Elway Y Chandler N

So out of 40 QB’s  19 - almost 50% we’re not among the top elite guys you would think you’d need in order to get to a Super Bowl!

And it’s even more skewed toward teams not spending so much on a quarterback because Wilson, Brady, Warner all started out not elite and super cheap and then became so.

Team clearly should use the draft instead of re-signing good QB’s to super large contracts.  Not only that but use your later picks at that.

Saturday, July 29, 2017

Democrats who dissappointed

I'm a yellow dog democrat.  I say that even though I support traditional marriage and am against gay rights.  I say that even though I am not a leftist ideologue, but rather an independent thinker.  I rationally have concluded that Democrats are the best choice for America.  And then I vote for them! Organize for them! And also try to make the party better.

Right now, we need to reconnect to traditional values more so than advancing any particular policy.  Democrats are the minority party at all levels because Republicans are much more in tune with Middle America, and the politics that are necessary to move us forward. 

When Republicans do talk marriage (no often) they speak of a man and a woman.
When we talk marriage we focus more on gays than the rest.

Even though this is basically a pro-choice nation, normal Americans don't celebrate the right to an abortion like many on the left.  It's a necessary evil that should be tolerated if not ignored in polite society.  So even if Republicans are wrong, they have the right approach.

Democrats celebrate so many minority groups/view points/ realities while ignoring the strength and dignity of regular everyday Americans.

All of the above has led to President Trump, Republican Congress, and Republican control of the majority of states.

If you read all of my posts over the years, you'll get a good sense of how a liberal Democratic party can become the governing majority.  We must excise the extremist left and also pursue common sense policies and reforms that make our country better.

One of them is having a strong morality.  Calling out our own when they have let us down, and not supporting them until the bitter end.  Instead we should strive to stand on universal moral principles and be proud of what we've advocated regardless of the specific situation.

In my political lifetime: 1992 - 
Here are the Democrats that have disappointed me:

Bill Clinton:  His behavior with women is abhorrent.  There is credible evidence that he raped Juanita Broaddrick.  And I believe he did mostly because she says he did, and he doesn't refute her directly.  This is something we should not get past ever.   He shamefully treated many other women including Monica Lewinsky.  He lied in so many places that his word is taken for granted as no good.   Democrats should not embrace him as a great President.  We can embrace good things that he stood for and helped accomplish, while even in times when it's not necessary, state that the party and country are better than his moral values. 

Saving medicare/Medicaid from Republicans; chip program; foster a good economy; preparing country for internet revolution; promoting African Americans; women's rights, etc. 

STILL  Character counts.

John Edwards:  He was cheating on his wife.  That's bad.  He did so when she was sick. That's worse.  He also misused funds to cover this up.  That's criminal.  Similar to President Clinton, Edwards did a lot of good.  But as a party we can't abdicate morality to others.  It's on us to try to find people who know better and can do better.

Anthony Weiner:  He has been caught numerous times sexting and doing embarrassing things on his phone and online.  He was a serious person, with a great future.  He eventually became part of the reason Hillary Clinton lost to Trump; as he was caught up in fbi investigations and emails.  He should have shown some respect and stayed away from DNC convention, and in general got out of the spotlight for the past few years.  Instead he ran for mayor, and after losing became a side show.

Robert Toricelli
Bob Menendez
Jesse Jackson jr.
Rob Blagoyaveth

It goes on and on.

We all sin. We all make mistakes.

We don't have to try to continue in public life.  Bring the party down with us.  Hurt the country.

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Obamacare compromise?

What about:

🔅 repeal individual and employer mandates
🔅 allow ins companies to sell across state lines and w/o EHB regulations - but they must offer at least one Comprehensive option that is affordable

🔅  anyone eligible for subsidy auto enrolled in catastrophic plan (non-Ocare)
🔅. Ppl not enrolled in Ocare EHB plan for over 6 months,  can be charged market rate for 10 years if they want to later buy comprehensive plan

The first item restores "liberty" of not forcing people to buy a product.

The second allows individuals to buy whatever policies they want that companies will offer.

The third raises revenue for the system to replace the mandates and stabilize the system that allows everyone to be covered even with pre-existing conditions.

It's important to have a stiff penalty for people who choose not to have insurance for significant time and then later want coverage.  Of courses there'd be hardship waivers where it made sense.

The end result would lower premiums for everybody, and increase accesss for millions.

Saturday, March 11, 2017

Democrats in a Trump Era

Here's a newliberal agenda all Democrats should agree with:

medicare for all
universal free public college
large defense cuts/while maintaining our strength
infrastructure buildup
urban renewal
police reform
education reform
tax reform

But Democrats need to stop being science deniers when it comes to gay rights and gay marriage!

The fact is there are three basic options:


Science teaches us only male/female relationships can reproduce and keep our species alive.  So since nature has a preference, we as policy makers should have a preference.

We need Democrats to stand against gay marriage.  It's the right thing to do because the philosophical underpinnings of this movement have culminated in the destruction of traditional marriage and healthy male/female relationships.  This hurts males, females, and the children.  To be clear, gay marriage didn't cause this, but is the most obvious symbol of what's wrong with our culture.  Simply put, if all lifestyles are valid, that lessens societal pressure on women to demand and men to commit to healthy marital relationships.  This breakdown has caused many ills related to crime, health, and overall happiness.  Democrats need to get back to traditional values and connect with average Americans.  Even though gay marriage is the law of the land, and Republicans haven't done anything about it; the silent majority has done something about it!  They've installed the party that is less in favor of gay rights and more (supposedly) in favor of traditional marriage as the majority party across this nation.  Now the Republicans have shown that they are unwilling to do what it takes to actually reverse the gay rights movement, but are very willing to exploit the backlash.  We need a solid part of the Democratic party that genuinely is against gay marriage and for traditional values in a way that makes all our lives better.

We need Democrats to stand against the agenda of the gay rights lobby.
There is a group of people who are determined to  keep changing our society regardless of the implications and whether the American people agree.
They have been working in Hollywood for decades, and you can see the results not only in
many t.v. shows and movies, but in commercials, sports programming, etc.
There has been an assault on traditional marriage, a celebration of divorce, and a drive
not only to tolerate but accept as equal people engaging in a homosexual lifestyle.  In fact, it's shocking that there isn't more outright depictions of gay images, except you realize these people are strategic in balancing the public's comfort with their vision of progress.

I would stipulate some people are born gay. But some also choose that and other deviant lifestyles. In America, we shouldn't seek to make everything bad or strange illegal, but we should strive to build our culture strong and make it sustainable for our future generations.
As Democrats we need to strengthen the institution of marriage by making it harder to get married, and harder to get divorced. Part of our problem today is that we have allowed the institution to wither and it has so much so, that the radical leftists have redefined it. We truly are defining deviancy down.
So as Democrats we need to look at the tax code, waiting periods before marriage, rules about joint ownership, and just our approach in civil society to make marriage more meaningful.
It is not enough to just be against gay marriage, we need to be for a stronger union.

We need to say it is ok for us to believe it's not ok to be gay.
I'm like millions of other Democrats who wouldn't want my children to be gay.
While we should treat everyone with respect, we the people through our government have a right to define our culture and laws for the common good.  The Supreme Court is wrong to include gay behavior as a civil right.  It should remain in the political realm, and then we should win the issues.

Democrats need to strengthen the political hand of fellow party people who believe in traditional values.  Think how far Democrats who support gun rights have come in the past two decades.

We don't want openly gay people serving in the military.
We don't want school textbooks presenting gay relationships as normal.
We don't want the feminization of boys/men to continue in our entertainment culture.
We don't want gay rights groups taking the banner of civil rights.
We dont' want gay marriage.

We can work to make sure all people are treated fairly in every situation without making false equations between African Americans and homosexuals. People are defined as gay by virtue of sexual behavior. The government has the right to regulate behavior. If it doesn't then that would attack the basis for most of our laws.

I want the millions of Democrats who agree to take back our party from the activists who are controlling the levers of power.

Don't allow them to control the language, and bully you into silence.
You don't have to support gay rights just because you're a democrat.
You don't have to be quiet because many of them support the rest of the Democratic agenda.
We need a truly progressive agenda that is good for America.
That means not only supporting traditional marriage, but making it better and stronger.

Craig Farmer
making the word, "liberal" safe again!

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Newliberal agenda: Response to Trump Republicans

Democrats now face the prospect of no power for the near future, as radical Republicans attack the very core of our federal government.  This is why it was so appalling to have so many African Americans, women, young, and poor people assert that there was no real difference between the parties and whether Clinton or Trump won.  Now as Trump begins naming his cabinet and first 100 days agenda, the reality is becoming worse than imagined because it seems clear Trump will work with the right wing to implement their agenda.  Jeff Sessions as Attorney General? Tom Price at HHS? and people like Giuliani and David Clarke being considered for various posts?  It seems the "unpredictable" Trump is so far very predictably bad.

Democrats need to respond to Republicans in a bold way that matches their extremism.  The GOP has gotten this far by breaking tradition, obstruction, lying,  and the politicalization of even the most basic things.  It has worked.  And the typical Democratic freak out has not worked.  Pointing out that you're responsible while the other is extreme; as you negotiate with them is a losing battle.  And we have lost.  Both Trump and Republicans have for years now proposed and fought for extreme policies that we thought for sure would sink them. Only to watch the public reward them for having ideas and trying in the first place.  They have been on offense and been willing to take short term losses for a long term victory.  THAT must be copied!  Democrats should not oppose Republicans in a moderate way.  They need to be bold and visionary.  They need to stand for a new agenda that might win in 2 or 4 years or maybe in 20 years.  We can't simply say no to Republicans and hope the people see how bad they are.

Here's what Democrats should stand for:

 Newliberal agenda

Medicare for all with no deductibles and coinsurance. Americans  would pay a simple premium and copay each time they used the system based on what they could afford to discourage overuse but no person would ever have to make an economic decision about their health.  This is an improvement of the current Medicare system which is too expensive and complicated.  We should work hard to keep private sector involved because it encourages innovation and managed competition can make everything work better.

Universal free public college for in state students.  The road to the middle class used to require high school, now young people need more education to get ahead.  Students should be able to commute to their local college at no charge just like high school.  If they or parents wanted to pay to stay on campus and for other amenities, that's their choice.  But all public 2 and 4 years schools should be available based on academic performance and not economics.

Cut Defense department by 50% while making the US stronger.  More money doesn't equal better results.  Re-evaluate all current deployments and re-orient our posture toward defeating f terrorists and defending ourselves rather than being an empire.  This is radical but the  right thing to do.  We'll find we will be even safer because the country can focus on doing what works, and we won't be provoking so many issues around the world. 

Build American infrastructure up into 21st century leader.  Updated modern electrical grid that doesn't lose power so easily, modern public transportation  improvements including airports, fixing roads and bridges, using smart technology that saves money and time, etc.

Clean up inner city streets and abandoned areas. Revitalize downtrodden areas with public/private partnerships that incentivize projects where it might not be profitable now, but we can create a better community and an environment where something will emerge later. 

Community police forces   Have local community meetings where the residents personally hire people from their community to police themselves. Then deploy to the worst crime neighborhoods in overwhelming force. 

Decriminalize common drug use We need to stop the cat and mouse game with drugs.  If a substance is being used widespread, decriminalize it.  Fine people for possession and move on. Focus on making our cities safer, and leave the drug epidemic to health and education officials.

Education reform  Pledge to fully fund our educational system in all 50 states. Allow every state and locality to do education their way. Each year they must be proficient or else the whole management of school must be removed, and start over.
 In addition, allow any parent in any school, who wants to use their tax dollars in a private or home school setting to take a voucher to use it.   Education is so important, we shouldn't be arguing over small amounts of money.  Both/And should be an acceptable answer. School choice and a strong public school system.

Auction Tax reform   Democrats should look to use technology to raise taxes in the least intrusive way.  Think of how many events and items Americans are willingly paying well above face value or above their normal spending range.  Sporting events, concerts, collector's items, new products, etc.  An event like the Cubs - Indians World Series immediately sold out, and tickets became inflated on the secondary market.  Thousands of people willingly paid more than normal to see the game.  This is a road map to a new taxation system that is much more voluntary.  Having the government auction off low supply/high demand events and items can substantially fund our government and all we need to do.  Out of let's say 35,000 seats at  a world series game, the government could buy 1000 tickets and resell them to highest bidder.  Those 1000 people would be happy, and no one loses out.

These are bold plans that Democrats can rally around that make people's lives better.
I should emphasize that much of the above can be done using the private sector as utility companies or in managed ways.  It is almost always better to have more ideas and competition rather than central planners deciding all the details.  So it is important that we the people through our government set priorities and guarantees and then have an open mind as the best way to achieve it.