Review of Election Prediction!

Here's what I predicted:

basically correct (off on actual totals)!
incorrect!
NAILED IT!
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Popular vote: Obama 55 McCain 43

Electoral College: Obama 390 McCain 148

key states:
Colorado Obama 53 McCain 46
Florida Obama 52 McCain 47
Iowa Obama 55 McCain 43
Nevada Obama 54 McCain 44
New Mexico Obama 55 McCain 43
New Hampshire Obama 54 McCain 45
Ohio Obama 52 McCain 47
Penn Obama 53 McCain 46
Virginia Obama 54 McCain 45
North Carolina Obama 51 McCain 48
Indiana Obama 50.4 McCain 49
Georgia Obama 51 McCain 48
Missouri Obama 50.1 McCain 49.1
North Dakota Obama 47 McCain 51.6
Montana Obama 48 McCain 51
Arizona Obama 45.5 McCain 53