2009 Political odds (updated)

1/21 (updated)

96% Al Franken is seated in the U.S. Senate (98%)

94% Tim Geithner confirmed as Treasury Secretary (done)

91% Eric Holder confirmed as Attorney General (done)

62% Bill Clinton causes a political scandal in 2009 (75%)

55% Harry Reid wins re-election to U.S. Senate (58%)

54% David Patterson wins re-election as Gov. NY (51%)

48% Guantanamo Bay closes within 1 year (1/21/2010) (65%)

38% Employee Free Choice Act law before '12 election (42%)

35% Howard Dean wins any elected office by 2010 ( 25%)

25% Oprah Winfrey runs for Obama's Senate Seat (10%)

5% Hillary Clinton runs for President again ( 5%)

0 % Rod Blagojevich survives in office as governor of Illinois (done)