Hillary Clinton will overcome a hostile media to become
a great 44th President of the United States
From Meet the Press:
MR. RUSSERT:
"Two races, two parties, two nominations and nobody knows who's going to win. "
Maybe true for the Republicans, but
This being said on 12/23/2007 where the average of national polls show:
Clinton +18.6
A survey of the states shows that were the election held today, under many different scenarios Hillary Clinton would win the Democratic nomination in a landslide:
For example using a calculation of porportional delegates from all states:
Hillary wins 1557
Obama 854
Edwards 445
Richardson 111
According to current state polls: Hillary leads in Fl,NY,Cal and in most states nationwide.
Hillary Clinton's biggest obstacle is a negative press that is trying to invent a Barack Obama or John Edwards viable challenge.
The NYOBSERVOR notes:
"A new conventional wisdom is taking hold that Barack Obama beats her there (Iowa and NH), he could run away with the nomination."
Of course this is ridiculous, that a national frontrunner, fully funded, fully vetted, and with institutional support could be derailed by 2 or 3 early states' voting. This is especially true under the particular circumstances where voters in these states are expecting (because of the media) personal attention from a potential POTUS. Once Feb. 5 comes, there will be more of a normal election cycle where voters will know the candidates through their websites, news reports, and t.v. ads.
Were Mr. Russet to have made a true and fair statement:
"We have two races, one completely wide open with 4 potential nominees, and the other with a national frontrunner being challenged in the early states".
Sunday, December 23, 2007
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