Ossoff leads 2028 Democratic nomination Top 5

 1. Jon Ossoff - if he wins Georgia Senate re-election; white male, totally acceptable to black voters; swing  state , great speaker , young and culturally relevant 

2. Wes Moore - gov of Maryland; if he wins reelection; is a black man married to black woman with a family, military service, excellent speaker, young and culturally relevant 

3.Kamala Harris obvious reasons… she’s the only woman who can win

4. Andy Beshear will be outgoing Kentucky Gov; white male, has potential with black voters; reslly good candidate; not offensive to many groups in the coalition 

5. Josh Shapiro Penn gov; excellent candidate, swing state, will have to find a way to message an acceptable message on Israel for the left flank 

Why Jasmine Crockett matters

 Outgoing Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett has increased her profile even in defeat while seeking the Democratic nomination for US Senate in Texas this year.  She has proven herself to be an entertaining content creator on various platforms while showing why she’s an effective lawmaker. Right now she’s beloved by her base of voters/supporters who include black voters (women esp), young voters, and anti-establishment progressives.  She holds a unique position because of her proximity to the establishment , while not losing her core. It’s a good bet to who dislikes her more between white progressives help males) or the Maga right wing.  Crockett is currently traveling the country supporting local and state candidates that represent her values. She has been under pressure from supporters of the victorious Texas Senate candidate James Talarico to more vocally support him and encourage the black community to rally around him. She has dutifully explained the racism she experienced in the Primary, and demanded that the burden is on the candidate and his supporters to fix the problems in order to earn the trust of more people in the black community.  That she is not just falling in line is good politics for Crockett and the black community.  It’s important that those who claimed she was unelectable don’t get to just use her visibility without accountability.  We as a community have progressed as far as we have in this country and the Democratic Party specifically through this such intelligence and pressure.  Crockett is properly leveraging the fact that black women are the base of the Democratic Party. That black men are the second most loyal constituency.  If moderates or white progressives don’t like this, they need to form a new coalition to win.  Unless or Until they do Jasmine Crockett will be respected and she has a great future in politics if she wants it.

Biden or Trump? Who’s really better for the Black Community?

Democratic nominee Joe Biden proposes for Black Community:

1. First Black woman as Vice President of the United States 

2. Will nominate First Black woman on Supreme Court 

3.  Support the legacy of the Barrack Obama as first black Potus 

4.  George Floyd Justice and Policing act 

5.  Protect and expand Obamacare which lowered black uninsured by over 33%

6.  Support the record number black lawmakers in power 

7.  Pursuing Lift Every Voice plan for Black America which addressing inequity in all areas including criminal justice, voting, business, education, and racism.

Donald Trump has emboldened the white racists in our country by pursuing rhetoric and policies that harm the black community from opposing diversity at the SCOTUS, to hiring white men to senior positions, to right wing judges, to hatred of Barrack Obama, John Lewis, and Elijah Cummings, to trying to take away healthcare during a pandemic, to black businesses being denied PPP funds, to supporting racist police, and overall being a bad and embracing President.

This is why African Americans should support BidenHarris2020 in record numbers!

How I know Biden will not win Florida

 It’s a good proposition in electoral politics that if something hasn’t happened in the past, it won’t happen next time until something really big changes.

Since 2000, No Presidential battleground state has voted for a Democrat or Republican if that state hadn’t already voted for a member of their party for Potus, Governor or Senator in the past 4 years.

So based on history Trump will win Florida because Obama was last to win office as Democrat in Florida in 2012. Since then Democrats have lost the Governor race 2x, potus, 2 senate seats. Not gonna happen for Biden! Same for Texas. Same for Georgia.

Good news is Democrats CAN win:

Arizona  elected Sinema to Senate

Wisconsin elected Tony Evers Governor 

Michigan elected  Gretchen Wilmer Governor 

Ohio elected Sherrod Brown Senator 

North Carolina elected Roy Cooper Governor 

But count Florida, Georgia, Texas out because they have rejected the Democratic message consistently and aren’t going to change at the Presidential level.

2000 election 

Bush won West Virginia which was a flip from 2000 but Cecil Underwood was governor 

2004 election 

Bush won New Mexico which was a flip from 2000 but Pete Domenici was US Senator 

Bush won Iowa which was a flip from 2000 but Chuck Grassley was US Senator 

2008 election

Obama won North Carolina but John Edwards was Senator 

Obama won Indiana but Evan Bayh was Senator 

Obama won Missouri but Claire McCaskill was Senator 

Obama won Virginia but Tim Kaine was Governor 

Obama won Florida but Bill Nelson was Senator 

2012 

States went as expected. 

2016

Trump won Michigan, which had R Snyder governor 

Trump won Pennsylvania which had Pat Toomey Senator 

Trump won Wisconsin which had Scott Walker Governor

Trump worse for Black Voters in modern times

President Obama has so clearly done more than Trump for black voters. However, we’re in a moment where some people think Trump’s proclamations are racist in themselves while others actually believe he’s been a great Potus for black voters.

Donald Trump has been the worst President for African Americans in modern time. As Joe Biden said, “you ain’t black” (jokingly) if you are having a tough time deciding between the two.

Here’s an example of how Obama was so good for black voters and Trump so bad. Before I do realize part of our problem is we had super high expectations for Obama and super low for Trump:

Obama
- affordable care act
- recovery act
- promote diversity in law and practice
- judges
- budgets
- role model
- ambassador of good will

Trump
- cut healthcare
- pandemic
- promoted racial tension
- promote cynicism
- bad conservative judges
- bad role model
- horrible budgets